DoubleChecks

What was claimed

Floods are not getting worse. Even the IPCC admits there's no global trend in flooding across thousands of stations

Our verdict

Needs caution

This statement ignores critical IPCC findings. The IPCC has found that climate change 'has detectably influenced' several variables that contribute to floods, such as rainfall and snowmelt. Additionally, over the last two decades, there has been an upward trend in the frequency of flood disasters, and global hydrological models project a larger fraction of land areas to be affected by an increase in river floods than by a decrease. (Only 2 of 3 AI systems responded.)

All 2 AI systems agreeChecked Jul 27, 2026

Check your own claim

Paste any statement, headline, or AI answer — 3 independent AIs verify it in seconds, with sources.

Key findings

"Floods are not getting worse."

Misleading87%
All 2 AIs agree

"Even the IPCC admits there's no global trend in flooding across thousands of stations."

Verified90%
1 of 2 AIs agree·Claude: Misleading

Detailed Analysis

Did not respond

What other AI think

The claim selectively presents one aspect of IPCC findings while omitting crucial context. While the IPCC does acknowledge low confidence in global flood magnitude trends, the statement misrepresents the full picture by ignoring IPCC findings on regional increases, climate influence on flood variables, and projected future increases.

Why this verdict

  • The claim selectively presents one aspect of IPCC findings while omitting crucial context.
  • While the IPCC does acknowledge low confidence in global flood magnitude trends, the statement misrepresents the full picture by ignoring IPCC findings on regional increases, climate influence on flood variables, and projected future increases.

Claims checked

Floods are not getting worse

Misleading88%
This statement ignores critical IPCC findings. The IPCC has found that climate change 'has detectably influenced' several variables that contribute to floods, such as rainfall and snowmelt. Additionally, over the last two decades, there has been an upward trend in the frequency of flood disasters, and global hydrological models project a larger fraction of land areas to be affected by an increase in river floods than by a decrease.

This claim may mislead readers without added context.

The IPCC admits there's no global trend in flooding across thousands of stations

Misleading92%
The IPCC states there is low confidence about peak flow trends on the global scale, but there are regions experiencing increases (parts of Asia, Southern South America, north-east USA, north-western Europe, and the Amazon) and regions experiencing decreases. This is not the same as 'no global trend'—it's a mixed regional picture with low confidence in detecting a coherent global signal.

This claim may mislead readers without added context.

The AI statement mixes a partially correct IPCC observation with an overbroad conclusion. The IPCC does report limited or no clear global trend in observed river-flood magnitude and frequency in many global-scale analyses, but it also documents regional increases, increases in heavy precipitation, and growing flood impacts due to exposure and sea-level rise. The overall claim that "floods are not getting worse" is therefore misleading without those important qualifiers.

Why this verdict

  • The AI statement mixes a partially correct IPCC observation with an overbroad conclusion.
  • The IPCC does report limited or no clear global trend in observed river-flood magnitude and frequency in many global-scale analyses, but it also documents regional increases, increases in heavy precipitation, and growing flood impacts due to exposure and sea-level rise.
  • The overall claim that "floods are not getting worse" is therefore misleading without those important qualifiers.

Claims checked

"Floods are not getting worse."

Misleading85%
Observed flood changes vary by region and by flood type; some regions show increases while others do not. The IPCC and recent studies report no simple global increase in observed river-flood frequency/magnitude, yet they also document increasing heavy precipitation, some regional flood increases, and larger impacts from more people and assets in flood-prone areas.

This claim may mislead readers without added context.

"Even the IPCC admits there's no global trend in flooding across thousands of stations."

Verified90%
IPCC assessments cite studies using thousands of riverflow or streamflow observatories (e.g., ~7,250 stations in Gudmundsson et al., 1971–2010) and conclude there is no strong, consistent global trend in river-flood magnitude/frequency. This statement is accurate but omits IPCC context about regional trends, specific flood types, and increasing damages driven by exposure and sea-level rise.

Share this result

Try DoubleChecks